copyright 2014
Palgrave MacMillan, a division of St. Martin's Press LLC, New York, NY
http://pragcap.com/
This is an excellent book. This is a book that I would like financial advisers to read before they try to sell me their products or service
It explains that money is basically a medium of exchange, a tool that gains us access to goods and services. That we live in a macro, global economy and need to look beyond our local area.
Most of us are savers that put our savings (unconsumed income) into stocks and bonds. Savings (unconsumed income) are set aside in financial assets for specific future requirements and must be available at specific dates in the future. Need to protect from purchasing power loss and permanent loss of funds.
Investment provides capital to fuel/help maximize future production. We need to invest (spending not consumed for future production) in our primary area of expertise to generate the highest personal return; such as education, job training, job certifications, side businesses, entrepreneurship. We are the cash flow generator
He goes through and debunks several financial myths that you still hear and read elsewhere: You too can become Warren Buffett, High fees mean good value; Focusing on either technicals or fundamentals is the optimal strategy; passive portfolio management is better than active portfolio management; stock market will make you rich; You have to beat the market; the next big thing will make you rich; stocks for the long run is the best approach (but unplanned life happens); commodities are investments; your house is a great investment; modern portfolio theory explains proper portfolio construction.
Financial risk is not being able to meet our financial goals and is not the same as volatility.
Proper portfolio construction is about process. Two biggest threats to meeting goals are purchasing power loss and permanent loss of capital. Key tools to achieving risk optimization:
- methodology- process & plan.
- Strategic diversification- fixed core portfolio with many different cash flow streams to achieve balanced and stable return.
- Tactical diversification- reduce exposure to uncertainty and tail risk
Protect against purchasing power loss (when in asset accumulation phase of your life)
- Emerging market equities & developed market small cap equities
- developed market large cap equities
- hi yield corporate bonds, preferred stocks & REITs
- Foreign Emerging Market Corporate Bonds & Foreign Emerging Market Government Debt
- Investment Grade Corporate Bonds & Municipal Bonds
- TIPs, Long-Term Developed Market Government Bonds Intermediate Term Developed Market Government Bonds
- Money Market Funds, Treasury Bills, Bank Deposits & cash
Steps:
- Establish methodolog
- Strategic diversification for core portfolio (passive index fund? bets on long term growth?)
- Tactical diversification to protect against uncertainty and tail risk (stocks-expansion exposure, bonds-deflation protection, cash-recession protection; precious metals-inflation protection) (monitor credit cycle, business cycle)
improvements in standards of living provide us with ultimate form of wealth-more time to do things [for] fullfillment.
Understanding the impact of the credit cycle http://pragcap.com/howard-marks-understanding-the-impact-of-the-credit-cycle
The US government is a contingent Currency Issuer http://pragcap.com/why-the-usa-isnt-going-bankrupt
http://pragcap.com/why-the-usa-isnt-going-bankrupt